Abilene Paradox

Abilene Paradox

The Abilene Paradox is a group decision-making failure where individuals go along with a choice they privately disagree with, believing others support it. In reality, no one supports it but no one speaks up.


This leads to collective actions that satisfy no one, often due to fear of dissent or a desire to avoid conflict.

HOW IT SHOWS UP

Design


  • Teams overcommit to a design direction no one fully supports, simply because no one voices concerns.

  • Feedback cycles become superficial, with team members agreeing out of politeness or fatigue.

  • Designers push forward with flawed solutions that everyone silently disagrees with.



Product


  • Feature prioritization reflects assumed consensus but lacks actual support from stakeholders.

  • PMs move forward on roadmaps no one is excited about, avoiding tough conversations.

  • Tradeoffs aren’t challenged, leading to bloated or misaligned MVPs.



Management / Leadership


  • Decisions are made without surfacing dissenting perspectives.

  • Junior team members stay quiet in meetings, believing their input is unwelcome or risky.

  • Managers interpret silence as agreement, reinforcing false consensus.

WHEN TO USE THIS MODEL

Spring Planning

Use this when team members seem disengaged or hesitant to speak up. A round of silent, written feedback before locking in decisions can uncover disagreements.


Retrospectives

Ideal for identifying systemic silence. If recurring issues are never discussed openly, use this model to frame the problem and make space for dissent.


Design Critiques

Use when you notice repeated passive approval. Encourage people to write down thoughts before group discussion to separate true agreement from social compliance.


HOW TO APPLY IT

Private Feedback Channels

Allow anonymous or private feedback ahead of group discussions to surface hidden opinions.


Ask Directly, Then Pause

When leading, ask: “Does anyone actually disagree with this?”—then pause long enough for discomfort to break the silence.


Normalize Dissent

Show your own disagreement openly. Model non-defensive behavior so others feel safe to do the same.


Postmortems Without Blame

After a failed decision, call out where false consensus may have played a role. Identify the warning signs to avoid next time.



Private Feedback Channels

Allow anonymous or private feedback ahead of group discussions to surface hidden opinions.


Ask Directly, Then Pause

When leading, ask: “Does anyone actually disagree with this?”—then pause long enough for discomfort to break the silence.


Normalize Dissent

Show your own disagreement openly. Model non-defensive behavior so others feel safe to do the same.


Postmortems Without Blame

After a failed decision, call out where false consensus may have played a role. Identify the warning signs to avoid next time.



Private Feedback Channels

Allow anonymous or private feedback ahead of group discussions to surface hidden opinions.


Ask Directly, Then Pause

When leading, ask: “Does anyone actually disagree with this?”—then pause long enough for discomfort to break the silence.


Normalize Dissent

Show your own disagreement openly. Model non-defensive behavior so others feel safe to do the same.


Postmortems Without Blame

After a failed decision, call out where false consensus may have played a role. Identify the warning signs to avoid next time.



Private Feedback Channels

Allow anonymous or private feedback ahead of group discussions to surface hidden opinions.


Ask Directly, Then Pause

When leading, ask: “Does anyone actually disagree with this?”—then pause long enough for discomfort to break the silence.


Normalize Dissent

Show your own disagreement openly. Model non-defensive behavior so others feel safe to do the same.


Postmortems Without Blame

After a failed decision, call out where false consensus may have played a role. Identify the warning signs to avoid next time.



More Mental Models

More Mental Models

More Mental Models